孔子的治道——以《论语》为中心的考察

孔子的治道包括三个方面:一是批判春秋的礼乐崩坏、政刑见重;二是以"正名"为原则重建周制,在治国一目中欲重塑君、臣、民之道,在天下一目中则倡"尊王攘夷",翼以恢复秩序;三是批判周制,逐步实现理想政体。此道首先在于塑造"唐虞之治"以为鹄的,其次欲以教育与参政培养合格之民众,再次于治国中倡兴灭继绝、选贤与能,最后于天下之道则反对兼并,圣者为王,为政以德,以建立超国家之公权、最终实现天下有道之局。     

社交媒体视阈下的社会治理创新研究——以南京市为例

社交媒体正快速成为公众针对各种公共事务及公共话题表达意见和建议的平台和主要渠道。它正在悄然改变社会治理方式,正成为互联网时代政府优化社会治理的重要渠道。可以说,整个社会已经步入一个利用社交媒体进行社会治理时代,社交媒体已成为公众行使知情权、参与权、表达权和监督权的重要渠道。但目前,政府在运用社交媒体进行社会治理时还存在民生需求分析机制不完善、虚拟社区思路不清晰、社交媒体社会动员专业化程度不高等问题。因此,急需创新利用社交媒体建立社交媒体民生信息监测、分析与应对机制,加强社交媒体治理体制建设,创新治理理念,建立线上线下相结合的动员模式,加强社交媒体中议程设置等社会治理方式。     

盐类物质对泥质烃源岩生排烃过程的影响

根据中国东部下第三系盐湖相沉积存在的地质实际,利用地层孔隙热压生排烃模拟仪开展了仿真地层条件下的含盐和不含盐泥质烃源岩的生排烃模拟实验,通过对烃类产物的分析探讨了盐类物质参与烃源岩生排烃的过程。研究表明：（1）盐类的存在加速了成烃演化,促进了石油和天然气的生成;（2）盐类的存在降低了对有机质的吸附能力,加速了粘土转化和脱水过程,且盐层易解理,使烃源岩中微孔隙及孔缝发育,促进了油气的初次运移;（3）无盐泥质源岩发育区虽然滞留大量的石油资源,但由于其岩石本身难压裂,对于商业化开采页岩油并无太大意义,到达过成熟阶段后,可能是页岩气开采的有利区带。盐岩发育区虽然其整体演化过程中生成的油气易于排出,但在Ro=1.28%时仍然滞留着20% 的石油资源,富含大量的盐类脆性矿物而低含粘土矿物,有利于产生裂缝,易于压裂,是页岩油藏勘探的有利区带。     

基层政府社会风险治理流程优化研究

社会风险治理是社会治理的重要组成部分,增强基层政府社会风险治理能力是推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化的一大关键。随着我国社会的进一步转型,社会风险呈现出虚拟化、网络化、联动化等新态势,它使得基层政府社会风险治理面临着新的挑战。因此,需要从流程优化的角度,对基层政府社会风险治理的机制与方式进行创新,从而提高基层政府社会风险治理的水平。     

Handling Missing Values in Longitudinal Panel Data With Multiple Imputation

This article offers an applied review of key issues and methods for the analysis of longitudinal panel data in the presence of missing values. The authors consider the unique challenges associated with attrition (survey dropout), incomplete repeated measures, and unknown observations of time. Using simulated data based on 4 waves of the Marital Instability Over the Life Course Study (n = 2,034), they applied a fixed effect regression model and an event‐history analysis with time‐varying covariates. They then compared results for analyses with nonimputed missing data and with imputed data both in long and in wide structures. Imputation produced improved estimates in the event‐history analysis but only modest improvements in the estimates and standard errors of the fixed effects analysis. Factors responsible for differences in the value of imputation are examined, and recommendations for handling missing values in panel data are presented.     

Not without them: realising the sustainable development goals for women migrant workers

ABSTRACT

Drawing on multiple data sources, including key informant interviews, participant observation and archival study, this paper provides an analysis of the civil society’s role in foregrounding the agenda of women migrants in migration and development (M&D) fora, and reflects on its role in realising the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Yet, the dominant narrative within the state-led Global Forum on Migration and Development (GFMD) tends to be a gender-blind migration for development approach, which emphasises national-level economic growth at the centre of migration processes, while negating the subjectivities of women migrants and neglecting their contributions to the global economy; this approach diverts attention to a narrow focus on macro-economic development through forms of financial remittances. Based on an examination of the GFMD as a site for gender mainstreaming M&D, we reflect on lessons learned as we look forward to achieving the SDGs. We argue that while the SDGs include some significant provisions for women in migration, only critical civil society advocacy and activism networked within grassroots organisations can address the structural changes necessary (such as a re-articulation of the care economy to value economic contributions of women’s reproductive work) to transform and improve the lived realities of women in migration and realise the SDGs in a manner that fosters their empowerment.     

试论唐朝在契丹族地区设立的府州

唐朝是契丹民族发展史上一个重要历史时期。由于唐朝的强大和民族政策的相对宽容,契丹与中原内地的经济文化交流十分频繁,有很多契丹人成为唐王朝的属民。为了加强对契丹人的管理,维护边疆民族地区的稳定,唐王朝对契丹人实行了设府置州、册封、赐姓以及和亲等一系列羁縻统治措施,进一步加速了契丹社会的发展,为契丹族的勃兴创造了条件。     

Unequal Regionalism: Regional Planning in China and England

This paper responds to the revival of regionalism in the past two decades by showing that such a re-emergence is unequal. Comparing the practice of regional planning in China and England, this paper has demonstrated that the party-state in China and the liberal-democratic state in England have responded differently to this revival and developed different framework for regional administration and planning. These variations have not only elaborated planners' concern about planning practice in a ‘context of difference’ from social dimension to geographical variations, but also echoed geographers' affirmation that global trends take on different characters in local setting.     

Carry on Shrinking?: The Bankruptcy of Urban Policy in Detroit

Much attention has recently been focused on the bankruptcy of the City of Detroit in 2013 and the reasons for the largest municipal fiscal melt down in US history. Contrary to a view gaining currency, which dismisses Detroit as the product of exceptional forces and largely calls it the architect of its own collapse, this article argues the case that Detroit conveys more general lessons for European cities struggling with decline, not least of which is the need for interventionist regional planning to avoid predictable but avoidable urban distress. The article briefly reviews the well-documented decline of the city of Detroit measured against population, economic, fiscal and image impacts. It considers five current misreadings of the reasons for Detroit's predicament and implicit signposts for European practice before concluding with an assessment of what has been hailed as the shoots of yet another possible renaissance in the originally proclaimed Renaissance City over 40 years ago.     

VC治理行为中介作用下的关系专用性投资与技术创新绩效

以风险投资“关系型融资”机制为视角,立足资源基础理论与交易成本理论,在“关系租”起源与“关系型融资”价值创造机制探讨的基础上,构建关系专用性投资、VC治理行为与技术创新绩效关系整合模型,研究不同关系专用性投资属性对技术创新绩效的影响以及VC治理行为的中介作用.通过264家科技型创业企业调研所得数据进行实证分析,研究显示,实物型关系专用性投资与VC监控行为正相关,与VC增值服务负相关,VC监控行为与技术创新绩效负相关;知识型关系专用性投资与VC监控行为负相关,与VC增值服务正相关,VC增值服务与技术创新绩效正相关.VC治理行为在关系专用性投资与技术创新绩效的关系中具有部分中介效应.